There is much more to Lincoln Riley\s departure from OU. At the time, before this version of NIL, transfer portal, revenue sharing, and conference alignment, his statements probably made sense. From 2015 to 2021, the strategy to get to the 4-team CFP was to win a power conference championship then play 2 more games. In that era, it certainly seemed easier to win the Big 12--which he did from 2017-2020, but failed to do in his final year as OU was deciding to make the move to the SEC. At the time, it made sense to jump to the Pac-12, where it would be easier to win the conference and make it to the 4-team CFP...which he failed to do in the 2022-2023 seasons where USC was in the Pac-12. Now that the Pac-12 is gone, his team is in the Big Ten competing against the likes of Ohio State and Michigan. Not to mention, he now has to fly to the east coast for conference games.I like suggestion Lincoln Riley but they would need to compete against LA and he left Oklahoma to get away from the SEC.
Now I am about to lay down evidence where we might not want him at Florida. Given the resources available to USC, with a path to the now 12-team CFP, he has fallen short and is 0-3 in the CFP.
In 2023 he did not beat a ranked opponent in the regular season. His Trojans finished 8-5 (5-4 Pac-12, 1-4 vs ranked teams)
In 2024, his #23 Trojans beat #13 LSU 27-20 in 2024. That LSU team lost to Billy Napier's Gators, which probably means that LSU team was trash. For the rest of 2024, Riley's USC Trojans went 0-3 against ranked teams in their conference* (including Notre Dame, which plays a hybrid Big Ten schedule). They finished 7-6 (4-5 Big Ten, 1-3 vs ranked teams).
In 2025 he finally beat a ranked team in the regular season other than a trash SEC team in a 31-13 win over #15 Michigan. He also lost to #23 Illinois and #13 Notre Dame when the Men of Troy were ranked #20-ish. He needs to beat a ranked Oregon at Autzen in order to finish with an even record against ranked opponents in the regular season.
All that to say, I doubt Lincoln Riley is The Guy, but he would be an improvement over anyone else on that list except Lane Kiffin.