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Week 1 in the SEC (NCAAF Week 4)

Discussion in 'Gator Football' started by Escambia94, Sep 27, 2020.

  1. Escambia94

    Escambia94 Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE) Moderator

    How did Florida look compared to the rest of the conference today? I looked at the statistics for all 14 SEC teams and rank them as follows:
    1. Florida
    2. Mississippi State
    3. Ole Miss
    4. Alabama
    5. LSU
    6. Tennessee
    7. Georgia
    8. Kentucky
    9. South Carolina
    10. Texas A&M
    11. Auburn
    12. Missouri
    13. Arkansas
    14. Vanderbilt
    In just one game the Gators look very good against the rest of the conference.
    Screenshot from 2020-10-07 14-25-32.png

    For comparison, the Miami Hurricanes would be about #4 or #5 in this week's SEC power rankings. If we were to bring last week's Miami and Louisville teams into this week's SEC power rankings they would be ranked about #4 or #5. Last week's Clemson vs. Citadel game would have placed Clemson at #6 and would have put Trevor Lawrence at #2 or #3. Clemson's performance against Wake Forest would have placed Clemson at #4 and Trevor Lawrence at #4.

    Power-3 Power Rankings:
    1. Texas
    2. Clemson
    3. Florida
    4. Alabama
    5. Miami

    Even though this week's Texas-Texas Tech game went into overtime with the Longhorns winning 63-56, either team would be ranked #3 or #4 in this week's SEC power rankings. This week's performance by the Gators is best compared to the week 1 Texas-UTEP game, with Texas putting up slightly better numbers than Florida, but against a completely over-matched opponent in UTEP. Sam Ehlinger posted a single game QBR of 92.2 in week 1, and 70.0 in week 2, or an average of 77.8 over two games. As long as Kyle Trask remains consistent this year his numbers should keep him near the top of the QB rankings.

    Obviously this is cherry-picking single data points, but this gives an idea of the Gator performance this week. There certainly are things for the Gators to work on in practice before the South Carolina game next week, but the Gators look to be ahead of most of the conference. Mississippi State looked amazing, despite being one-dimensional on offense. Ole Miss is going to cause some problems for the conference once they figure out defense. Alabama looks as if they are holding back a bit, so I doubt they will remain at #4 in my power rankings in the coming weeks. The next biggest question is Georgia, who was down 5-7 at the half before they remembered how to play football. Tennessee and Kentucky have always given the Gators problems, and I anticipate these teams exploiting the middle of the Gator defensive secondary the same way Ole Miss did. Texas A&M, Missouri, Arkansas, and Vanderbilt all have some issues they need to work on if they want to avoid being the punching bags for the rest of the conference.

    Attached Files:

    Last edited: Oct 7, 2020
  2. DRU2012

    DRU2012 Super Moderator Staff Member Super Moderator

    Not sure how you got here, brother—but I sure hope you are right!
    All I can say for sure judgement-wise at THIS point though is that our D damn well better improve dramatically in the coming weeks if we are to continue to warrant that assessment, however valid its parameters. We only have to be “BETTER” to beat The USC Muschamps, but we’ll have to continue that trend IN SPADES to keep it going on the road at TAMU the week after.
  3. Escambia94

    Escambia94 Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE) Moderator

    I just found these two videos that explain everything much better:
    • Study: LOADED Florida Gators put CFB ON NOTICE?!
    • Study: Florida Gators "defensive struggles" EASILY CORRECTABLE!
  4. Escambia94

    Escambia94 Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE) Moderator

    Credit the videos to Murf Baldwin. He is probably the best in the business at analyzing college sports--even though he was a Georgia Bulldog. The statistical analysis was the result of data from five different websites.
    • Like Like x 1
  5. DRU2012

    DRU2012 Super Moderator Staff Member Super Moderator

    Gotta give you props, bra’...
    Great, hard research yielding deep data and seemingly solid conclusions.
    Still, the hardened (and self-protective) fan in me continues to guard my fears, given previous experience AND these weird times: I WANT to “believe”, but I need to SEE more.

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