• Welcome to Green Bay Packers NFL Football Forum & Community!
    Packer Forum is one of the largest online communities for the Green Bay Packers.

    You are currently viewing our community forums as a guest user.

    Sign Up or

    Having an account grants you additional privileges, such as creating and participating in discussions. Furthermore, we hide most of the ads once you register as a member! Furthermore, we hide most of the ads once you register as a member!

2023 Schedule FPI and Win Probability

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
The FPI trending data shows the Gators are still slightly above average. Missouri is getting better but they still have an FPI below Tennessee, which is a team that Florida beat. Oddly enough, Florida is above Kentucky, which is a team that beat them.


123456789
UF9.98.89.310.89.16.97.17.37.4
@ Utah14.915.715.514.011.510.310.111.212.3
McNeese-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0
Tenn15.218.113.111.713.815.115.115.515.6
Charlotte-9.2-10.8-10.3-12.9-10.2-10.4-9.9-12.1-10.6
@ UK9.710.95.86.37.28.96.34.74.8
Vandy-2.8-5.8-6.1-7.4-8.4-8.3-9.2-7.8-7.8
@ SC5.65.35.57.58.16.46.76.55.2
vs UGA27.424.724.524.323.322.524.322.622.5
Ark9.07.67.55.47.67.17.68.37.5
@ LSU22.116.318.221.018.617.317.518.821.7
@ Mizz6.46.94.15.56.37.26.68.810.9
FSU15.019.823.019.819.919.919.622.222.7
Compared to this time last year, the Gators are slightly better.
123456789
UF 2022​
9.30​
10.60​
8.00​
5.10​
6.20​
6.80​
6.60​
6.60​
6.40​
UF 2023​
9.90​
8.80​
9.30​
10.80​
9.10​
6.90​
7.10​
7.30​
7.40​
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
The FPI slipped slightly as expected and is currently tracking where we were this point a year ago.

12345678910
UF9.98.89.310.89.16.97.17.37.46.3
@ Utah14.915.715.514.011.510.310.111.212.310.3
McNeese-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0
Tenn15.218.113.111.713.815.115.115.515.615.5
Charlotte-9.2-10.8-10.3-12.9-10.2-10.4-9.9-12.1-10.6-12.9
@ UK9.710.95.86.37.28.96.34.74.84.8
Vandy-2.8-5.8-6.1-7.4-8.4-8.3-9.2-7.8-7.8-8.0
@ SC5.65.35.57.58.16.46.76.55.24.7
vs UGA27.424.724.524.323.322.524.322.622.523.1
Ark9.07.67.55.47.67.17.68.37.57.2
@ LSU22.116.318.221.018.617.317.518.821.721.3
@ Mizz6.46.94.15.56.37.26.68.810.910.8
FSU15.019.823.019.819.919.919.622.222.722.9
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
I'm just sweating out that "one more win" at this point...As for anything beyond THAT, well, I don't anticipate even EXTENSIVE prayer helping us much there--only a seriously dedicated redoubled effort at pre-game prep and in-game intensity are liable to position us for a seventh victory this season.
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
Well. Just like last year the Gators are sliding downhill, except this time they have little hope of bowl eligibility.
1234567891011
UF9.98.89.310.89.16.97.17.37.46.36.4
@ Utah14.915.715.514.011.510.310.111.212.310.312.9
McNeese-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0
Tenn15.218.113.111.713.815.115.115.515.615.517.7
Charlotte-9.2-10.8-10.3-12.9-10.2-10.4-9.9-12.1-10.6-12.9-12.8
@ UK9.710.95.86.37.28.96.34.74.84.86.8
Vandy-2.8-5.8-6.1-7.4-8.4-8.3-9.2-7.8-7.8-8.0-7.7
@ SC5.65.35.57.58.16.46.76.55.24.74.5
vs UGA27.424.724.524.323.322.524.322.622.523.122.7
Ark9.07.67.55.47.67.17.68.37.57.27.4
@ LSU22.116.318.221.018.617.317.518.821.721.322.4
@ Mizz6.46.94.15.56.37.26.68.810.910.811.6
FSU15.019.823.019.819.919.919.622.222.722.922.6
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
I am only doing this for historical purposes. This is painful.

123456789101112
UF9.98.89.310.89.16.97.17.37.46.36.46.2
@ Utah14.915.715.514.011.510.310.111.212.310.312.913.1
McNeese-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0
Tenn15.218.113.111.713.815.115.115.515.615.517.715.6
Charlotte-9.2-10.8-10.3-12.9-10.2-10.4-9.9-12.1-10.6-12.9-12.8-12.4
@ UK9.710.95.86.37.28.96.34.74.84.86.86.0
Vandy-2.8-5.8-6.1-7.4-8.4-8.3-9.2-7.8-7.8-8.0-7.7-9.2
@ SC5.65.35.57.58.16.46.76.55.24.74.56.6
vs UGA27.424.724.524.323.322.524.322.622.523.122.724.4
Ark9.07.67.55.47.67.17.68.37.57.27.44.5
@ LSU22.116.318.221.018.617.317.518.821.721.322.420.2
@ Mizz6.46.94.15.56.37.26.68.810.910.811.614.0
FSU15.019.823.019.819.919.919.622.222.722.922.622.0
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
On the bright side, Florida does not suck at the Vanderbilt level. The data shows that Florida started off about as good as Kentucky, Arkansas, Missouri, and South Carolina, but Missouri improved to the next tier containing Utah and Tennessee.
2023 Week 11 FPI Tracker.png
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
This is the last one of these that I will need to suffer through.

12345678910111213
UF9.98.89.310.89.16.97.17.37.46.36.46.26.4
@ Utah14.915.715.514.011.510.310.111.212.310.312.913.111.3
McNeese-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0-15.0
Tenn15.218.113.111.713.815.115.115.515.615.517.715.614.3
Charlotte-9.2-10.8-10.3-12.9-10.2-10.4-9.9-12.1-10.6-12.9-12.8-12.4-13.3
@ UK9.710.95.86.37.28.96.34.74.84.86.86.06.2
Vandy-2.8-5.8-6.1-7.4-8.4-8.3-9.2-7.8-7.8-8.0-7.7-9.2-9.4
@ SC5.65.35.57.58.16.46.76.55.24.74.56.66.5
vs UGA27.424.724.524.323.322.524.322.622.523.122.724.425.5
Ark9.07.67.55.47.67.17.68.37.57.27.44.53.9
@ LSU22.116.318.221.018.617.317.518.821.721.322.420.220.6
@ Mizz6.46.94.15.56.37.26.68.810.910.811.614.013.6
FSU15.019.823.019.819.919.919.622.222.722.922.622.020.8


How does this compare to last year? The bad news is that after 2023 week 11, the Gators regressed into a worse team than last year--mostly due to the defense. In week 4 the Gators had the #14 defense in the nation. By week 11 the defensive ranking was dropping into the 100s.

12345678910111213
UF 20229.3010.608.005.106.206.806.606.606.406.406.406.606.80
UF 20239.908.809.3010.809.106.907.107.307.406.306.406.206.40
 

Members online

No members online now.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
20,359
Messages
90,605
Members
1,227
Latest member
NicholeJaX
Top