Here is my leader board for head coach at the University of Florida football program in 2022:
Luke Fickell and Billy Napier are the only head coaches on the list with a better winning record than Dan Mullen. Fickell is not leaving Cincinnati, since his family is there, his son is coming to the school, and he does not appear to have any reason to leave the state of Ohio--at least not until his kids leave home. Napier is likely holding out for the LSU position and he has no reason to leave the state of Louisiana. Mark Stoops seems happy at Kentucky, and I am not convinced he would move to Florida. I have no information that indicates Lane Kiffin would come to Florida, but I have a feeling he would for the right price. Jeff Hafley and Jamey Chadwell are up-and-comers to consider. Jeff Lebby and Joe Brady are common names brought up that I do not recommend for first-time head coaches at Florida, but if we had to give someone a shot it would have to be one of these two.
If Mullen gets fired this month then I would prepare to offer Mel Tucker or James Franklin $8M or more, then work my way down the list to Lane Kiffin and Mark Stoops at $7M or more. If those two do not pan out, then offer Jeff Hafley and Jamey Chadwell $4M. If that fails then offer Jeff Lebby and Joe Brady $3M.
Just for comparison, here is a comparison of the last few Florida Gator head coaches:
It is obvious that Dan Mullen is competitive as a head coach at Florida. Before he hit the losing skid a year ago his winning percentage was right there at 80%, like Spurrier and Meyer. Mullen would have to lose the next 2 games and go 6-6 next year in order to drop to a 64.52% at Florida.
| Name | School | Salary | Buyout | W | L | Total WL% | Current WL% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Fickell | Cincinnati | $3.40 | $4.00 | 51 | 21 | 70.83% | 76.27% |
| Billy Napier | Louisiana | $2.00 | $3.00 | 37 | 12 | 75.51% | 75.51% |
Dan Mullen | Florida | $7.60 | $12.00 | 103 | 60 | 63.19% | 70.83% |
| James Franklin | Penn State | $5.50 | $4.00 | 90 | 47 | 65.69% | 67.35% |
| Kalen DeBoer | Fresno State | $1.35 | $1.50 | 79 | 8 | 90.80% | 66.67% |
| Lane Kiffin | Ole Miss | $4.50 | $0.00 | 74 | 41 | 64.35% | 65.00% |
Mel Tucker | Michigan State | $6.00 | $6.00 | 16 | 13 | 55.17% | 64.71% |
| Jamey Chadwell | Coastal Carolina | $0.85 | $0.00 | 87 | 54 | 61.70% | 58.70% |
| Jeff Hafley | Boston College | $3.00 | $0.00 | 12 | 9 | 57.41% | 57.14% |
Mark Stoops | Kentucky | $5.00 | 1.75 | 56 | 63 | 47.06% | 47.06% |
Jeff Lebby | Ole Miss (OC) | $1.20 | $0.00 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Joe Brady | Carolina Panthers (OC) | $1.00 | $0.00 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Luke Fickell and Billy Napier are the only head coaches on the list with a better winning record than Dan Mullen. Fickell is not leaving Cincinnati, since his family is there, his son is coming to the school, and he does not appear to have any reason to leave the state of Ohio--at least not until his kids leave home. Napier is likely holding out for the LSU position and he has no reason to leave the state of Louisiana. Mark Stoops seems happy at Kentucky, and I am not convinced he would move to Florida. I have no information that indicates Lane Kiffin would come to Florida, but I have a feeling he would for the right price. Jeff Hafley and Jamey Chadwell are up-and-comers to consider. Jeff Lebby and Joe Brady are common names brought up that I do not recommend for first-time head coaches at Florida, but if we had to give someone a shot it would have to be one of these two.
If Mullen gets fired this month then I would prepare to offer Mel Tucker or James Franklin $8M or more, then work my way down the list to Lane Kiffin and Mark Stoops at $7M or more. If those two do not pan out, then offer Jeff Hafley and Jamey Chadwell $4M. If that fails then offer Jeff Lebby and Joe Brady $3M.
Just for comparison, here is a comparison of the last few Florida Gator head coaches:
| Name | Overall and UF | Wins | Losses | Win Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Mullen | Overall | 103 | 60 | 63.19% |
| Florida | 34 | 14 | 70.83% |
Jim McElwain | Overall | 61 | 40 | 60.40% |
| Florida | 22 | 12 | 64.71% |
Will Muschamp | Overall | 56 | 61 | 47.86% |
| Florida | 28 | 21 | 57.14% |
Urban Meyer | Overall | 187 | 32 | 85.39% |
| Florida | 65 | 15 | 81.25% |
Ron Zook | Overall | 57 | 65 | 46.72% |
| Florida | 23 | 14 | 62.16% |
Steve Spurrier | Overall | 228 | 89 | 71.92% |
| Florida | 122 | 27 | 81.88% |
It is obvious that Dan Mullen is competitive as a head coach at Florida. Before he hit the losing skid a year ago his winning percentage was right there at 80%, like Spurrier and Meyer. Mullen would have to lose the next 2 games and go 6-6 next year in order to drop to a 64.52% at Florida.
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