I like to use history to help guess at the future, and what history tells us is that a coordinator being hired as head coach has fewer connections and less influence over other coaches. If a school takes a head coach away from another school, one can expect to see between 50% and 100% of those coaches switching over. If a school takes a coordinator, one can expect that coordinator to raid his former team of only a handful of coaches and depend on connections in other schools. The issue of retaining former staff members has way too many variables to consider--the current win-loss record, the destination of the ousted or retired head coach, and other factors that depend entirely on the incoming head coach.
What that means for MusCHOMP is that as a former defensive coordinator for Texas, I would expect at most one or two other former Texas coaches to come over to Florida and the rest would be a mix of his buddies at other programs, hot commodities that Muschamp has run into, and a few of the Gator coaches from last year. No surprises in any of those assumptions. What kind of variables are we considering? Steve Addazio is going to raid a sizable chunk of the offense/special teams, so I expect to see Stan Drayton (RBs), Brian White (TEs), DJ Durkin (ST, LBs), Scot Loeffler (QBs), or Zach Azzanni (WRs) go to Temple. Azzanni has only coached receivers in the spread, so he MIGHT not be a good fit for whichever offensive coordinator we get. Loeffler and Drayton have worked outside the spread and in the pros, so they could be retained theoretically...but I doubt it unless we cannot hire a showstopper OC. The other offensive coaches will likely follow Addazio or go to some other team. On defense, I do not see a reason to get rid of Chuck Heater. I could even see Muschamp keeping Teryl Austin. Durkin is probably not going to be an LB coach under Muschamp.
None of these assumptions are based on rumors--this is just my best guess based on what history tells us. History tells us that Addazio is going to take a couple offensive coaches that may not fit under Muschamp (Azzanni being the most vulnerable), the spread coaches with no NFL experience. Some of them can fit regardless of the offensive coordinator we bring in (Loeffler and Drayton). On defense, we have no idea how much Muschamp wants to do hands-on, but he could keep both Heater and Austin if he wanted to since Austin has NFL experience and our defense would only get better with Muschamp's insight if they can figure out how to balance three defensive minds--Austin, Heater, and Muschamp. More than likely, one of them will go and Muschamp will be co-DC with Austin or Heater...if he cannot snag someone like Kirby Smart.
Regardless of the situation, we are good on defense. Offense could be tricky. Since Muschamp was not a head coach, it might be difficult to rip an entire offensive staff off another team, and it could get expensive to pluck an NFL OC. Josh McDaniel is looking for a job, but he made twice as much last year as Muschamp will make next year. That leaves me to believe we will be looking at other colleges. In that case, the ones worth snagging are all busy right now with bowl games, so we will not hear anything until the bowl games are over.
