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OGT 2024 Week 4: Florida Gators at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
The once mighty 1-2 (0-1) Florida Gators will travel to Stark Vegas to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-2). For some odd reason, the Gators are favored by 6, and the over/under is 57.5. The last time these teams met was in Dan Mullen's first year at Florida after previously coaching at State. The Gators won that match-up in Star Vegas 13-6, but both teams had different coaches. Mississippi State head coach Jeff Lebby is in his first year as a head coach. Billy Napier is likely entering his last season as Gator head coach, so I will not waste my time going over his historic career at Florida or anywhere else.
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The Gators looked horrible in two of their last three outings.
DateOpponentResultW-L (Conf)High PassHigh RushHigh Rec
Sat, Aug 31vs 19 MiamiL41-170-1 (0-0)Mertz 91Johnson Jr. 106Wilson III 50
Sat, Sep 7vs SamfordW45-71-1 (0-0)Lagway 456Johnson Jr. 67Wilson III 141
Sat, Sep 14vs Texas A&ML33-201-2 (0-1)Mertz 195Webb 37Badger 94

The Bulldogs looked horrible in two of their last thee outings.
DateOpponentResultW-L (Conf)High PassHigh RushHigh Rec
Sat, Aug 31vs Eastern KentuckyW56-71-0 (0-0)Shapen 247Shapen 44Mosley 104
Sat, Sep 7@Arizona StateL30-231-1 (0-0)Shapen 268Lee 35Coleman Jr. 103
Sat, Sep 14vs ToledoL41-171-2 (0-0)Shapen 319Daniels 59Coleman Jr. 77

Head-to-head:
FloridaState
PassingQB DJ Lagway 27/44, 541 YD, 4 TD, 3 INT, 181.0 RAT
QB Graham Mertz 23/34, 286 YD, 1 TD, 2 INT, 132.4 RAT
QB Blake Shapen 61/87, 834 YD, 7 TD, 1 INT, 174.9 RAT
RushingRB Montrell Johnson 33 CAR, 166 YD, 3 TD
RB Treyaun Webb 13 CAR, 52 YD, 1 TD
RB Ja'Kobi Jackson 8 CAR, 50 YD, 1 TD
RB Keyvone Lee 21 CAR, 88 YD, 1 TD
RB Johnnie Daniels 18 CAR, 81 YD, 0 TD
RB Davon Booth 20 CAR, 58 YD, 1 TD
ReceivingWR Elijah Badger 11 REC 260 YD, 1 TD
WR Eugene Wilson 13 REC 191 YD, 1 TD
WR Chimere Dike 8 REC 146 YD, 1 TD
WR Kevin Coleman 16 REC, 268 YD, 3 TD
WR Jordan Mosley 11 REC, 183 YD, 1 TD
WR Mario Craver 5 REC, 130 YD, 2 TD
KickingPK Trey Smack 10/10 XP; 2/2 FG, LONG 41, 16 PTSPK Kyle Ferrie 12/13 XP; 2/3 FG, LONG 32, 18 PTS
DefenseLB Jaden Robinson 8 SOLO, 5 AST, 0 SK, 0 PD
DB Jordan Castell 6 SOLO, 7 AST, 0 SK, 2 PD
LB Grayson Howard 8 SOLO, 5 AST, 0 SK, 0 PD
S Isaac Smith 17 SOLO, 26 AST, 0 SK, 1 PD
LB Stone Blanton 4 SOLO, 19 AST, 0 SK, 1 PD
S Brylan Lanier 10 SOLO, 8 AST, 0 SK, 0 PD

The Gators have the talent and performance advantage heading into the game, which will likely change during the game thanks to the amazing skill on this coaching staff. One of these sorry teams needs to win, but I refuse to give a score prediction. I foresee an ugly game between two horrible programs that should be relegated to a lower conference.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
I guess we are sorta PAST "WIN or ELSE".
Let's say "WIN or forget it..."
We finally seem to be getting a bit of a rhythm on offense here in this one. Same old clunky offense, but with Tre Wilson out I will take it.
At this point, why not open it up a bit, just for fun?
Maybe we'll see more of DJ as the game goes on (more than for just a play, anyway).
I can already SEE that we are a more talented team than MSU; even with some playmakers out we are moving the ball now.
Still not fond if the conservative playcsllinv on the road, but that's what we will get with Billy calling the offense (the ongoing reality, despite his protestations).
3rd and goal:
Easy pass and catch for a TD.
OK. I THINK we can eke out a win in this one.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
Our D still sucks.
This is embarrassing.
If we cannot dominate THESE guys, I am done watching them this season.
I mean, this is far from a scary Miss St. O-line, but that just pushed our D right down the field.
I mean, TOLEDO blew them out in the first half last week.
I'm starting to think we MAY be one of the poorest coached teams overall in the whole SEC.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
I doubt I can watch much more of this.
If DJ can't move this team, we have little hope.
In fact, I am gonna shut up here for a bit, settle back and just watch. See if DJ can get us some quick points here.
Either we take control of this game NOW, or I fear we will actually LOSE this first road game against a lesser team.
Johnson fumbles.
Oh no--on our crap defense now.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
OK, we get it back. Poor punt.
So. Throw it long. Geez, Billy. Do you not understand "Game flow"????
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
Now THAT was a nice pass by Mertz.
Well played by both QB and WR.
 

DRU2012

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Staff member
Super Moderator
Now, if the D can just get a stop--better yet, a TURNOVER--maybe we can begin to pull away in this one--the only other game (besides Samford) where we clearly had the edge coming INTO the season.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
NOW we are rolling.
Mertz is dialed IN.
AND "Fans to Billy":
We know you wanna get DJ in there, and you care in with a plan--but Grahan is HOT: READ THE SIGNS, Coach.
Let QB-1 just do his thing here for now. Let him keep completing passes downfield.
Let's go to the half with a nice lead.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
Of course, that ALSO requires the defense doing ITS job. Not exactly a done deal.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
If we give up another TD here, I will not watch anymore. Our D is just WEAK.
HOLDING saves us here maybe.
But we STILL gotta TACKLE.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
If you can drive it downfield NOW, boys, you can put this one away at the HALF.
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
On the bright side, Napier is doing a better job of alternating QBs.


PlayerC/ATTYDSAVGTDINT
Graham Mertz15/161479.230
DJ Lagway4/44912.300
19/201969.830
 

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