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2022 Game Predictions by FPI and Win Probability

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
So, after the first 4 games as a sample, and the application of the FPI numbers using that sample, we have a fairly concrete FACTUAL basis to arrive at pretty well the same extrapolation of our likely eventual record this season as the bettors had it from the start.
As for those three "outliers" whose results the same numbers say will in the end "make the difference", I too am lost when it comes to aTm, but for whatever this is worth, my impressions of LSU and FSU are sufficient to convince me that this Gator team is already enough further along in development (if that is a word than can be applied to these two particular future opponents at ALL in the first place) to beat EITHER--and if we stay relatively healthy and continue that "development", that becomes a progressively stronger likelihood.
So perhaps we can reach 8 wins this season after all, by the numbers.
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
The updated FPI shifted the expected results again, as expected. Florida's FPI went up from 6.2 to 6.8.
GameOpponentFPI | updatePrediction | Actual
September 3, 2022#7 Utah Utes52.1% | 59.1%Utah 24, Florida 21 (0-1, 0-0) | Florida 29, Utah 26 (1-0, 0-0)
September 10, 2022#20 Kentucky Wildcats51.1% | 50.9%Florida 31, Kentucky 27 (2-0, 1-0) | Kentucky 26, Florida 16
September 17, 2022South Florida Bulls87.7% | 94.8%Florida 42, USF 10 (3-0, 1-0) | Florida 31, USF 28
September 24, 2022@ #11 Tennessee Volunteers39.8% | 29.4%Tennessee 30, Florida 24 (3-1, 1-1) (UPSET) | Tennessee 38, Florida 33
October 1, 2022Eastern Washington Eagles96.9% | 94.0%Florida 38, Eastern Washington 20 (4-1, 1-1) | Florida 52, Eastern Washington 17
October 8, 2022Missouri Tigers78.3% | 70.0% | 71.95%Florida 34, Missouri 23 (5-1, 2-1)
October 15, 2022LSU Tigers44.7% | 64.0% | 25.21%Florida 36, LSU 24 (6-1, 3-1)
October 22, 2022BYE
October 29, 2022Georgia Bulldogs (Jacksonville, Fla.)9.6% | 12.3% | 5.52%Georgia 32, Florida 17 (6-2 3-2)
November 5, 2022@ Texas A&M Aggies29.7% | 25.3% | 39.07%Texas A&M 38, Florida 24 (6-3, 3-3)
November 12, 2022South Carolina Gamecocks69.9% | 62.9% | 71.65%Florida 30, South Carolina 27 (6-4, 4-3)
November 19, 2022@ Vanderbilt Commodores86.8% | 87.9% | 79.75%Florida 38, Vanderbilt 21 (7-4, 5-3)
November 25, 2022@ FSU Seminoles43.3% | 53.5% | 34.49%Florida 21, Florida State 14 (8-4, 5-3)

Based on probabilities alone the Gators should end up 7-5, but I am calling for 9-3 with another possible upset over Texas A&M. The win probability went up for Missouri and South Carolina. The probability of an upset over Texas A&M went up slightly. The alarming trend is that FSU's FPI went up and they will be favored to beat Florida unless FSU (week 5, 4-1) stumbles against NC State (week 5, 4-1), Clemson (week 5, 5-0), or Miami (week 5, 2-2).
 

DRU2012

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Staff member
Super Moderator
The updated FPI shifted the expected results again, as expected. Florida's FPI went up from 6.2 to 6.8.
GameOpponentFPI | updatePrediction | Actual
September 3, 2022#7 Utah Utes52.1% | 59.1%Utah 24, Florida 21 (0-1, 0-0) | Florida 29, Utah 26 (1-0, 0-0)
September 10, 2022#20 Kentucky Wildcats51.1% | 50.9%Florida 31, Kentucky 27 (2-0, 1-0) | Kentucky 26, Florida 16
September 17, 2022South Florida Bulls87.7% | 94.8%Florida 42, USF 10 (3-0, 1-0) | Florida 31, USF 28
September 24, 2022@ #11 Tennessee Volunteers39.8% | 29.4%Tennessee 30, Florida 24 (3-1, 1-1) (UPSET) | Tennessee 38, Florida 33
October 1, 2022Eastern Washington Eagles96.9% | 94.0%Florida 38, Eastern Washington 20 (4-1, 1-1) | Florida 52, Eastern Washington 17
October 8, 2022Missouri Tigers78.3% | 70.0% | 71.95%Florida 34, Missouri 23 (5-1, 2-1)
October 15, 2022LSU Tigers44.7% | 64.0% | 25.21%Florida 36, LSU 24 (6-1, 3-1)
October 22, 2022BYE
October 29, 2022Georgia Bulldogs (Jacksonville, Fla.)9.6% | 12.3% | 5.52%Georgia 32, Florida 17 (6-2 3-2)
November 5, 2022@ Texas A&M Aggies29.7% | 25.3% | 39.07%Texas A&M 38, Florida 24 (6-3, 3-3)
November 12, 2022South Carolina Gamecocks69.9% | 62.9% | 71.65%Florida 30, South Carolina 27 (6-4, 4-3)
November 19, 2022@ Vanderbilt Commodores86.8% | 87.9% | 79.75%Florida 38, Vanderbilt 21 (7-4, 5-3)
November 25, 2022@ FSU Seminoles43.3% | 53.5% | 34.49%Florida 21, Florida State 14 (8-4, 5-3)

Based on probabilities alone the Gators should end up 7-5, but I am calling for 9-3 with another possible upset over Texas A&M. The win probability went up for Missouri and South Carolina. The probability of an upset over Texas A&M went up slightly. The alarming trend is that FSU's FPI went up and they will be favored to beat Florida unless FSU (week 5, 4-1) stumbles against NC State (week 5, 4-1), Clemson (week 5, 5-0), or Miami (week 5, 2-2).
Wow. I sure hope you are right in the faith you place in the FPI: When laid out as above, it does not seem unreasonable--but the current and recent disabalance between the Gator offense and its defense somehow screams a warning.
Look, I understand that you are simply just "reporting the facts", passing along the numbers and interpreting their implications on "potential wins and losses"...
Let's see how THIS one actually plays out in "the real world"!
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
Wow. I sure hope you are right in the faith you place in the FPI: When laid out as above, it does not seem unreasonable--but the current and recent disabalance between the Gator offense and its defense somehow screams a warning.
Look, I understand that you are simply just "reporting the facts", passing along the numbers and interpreting their implications on "potential wins and losses"...
Let's see how THIS one actually plays out in "the real world"!
No. I have no faith in FPI as you say, but I use it as a means to track trends. The polls are meaningless. Pure stats are useful with context, and that context can be provided or augmented by FPI. I do not have the time or motivation to develop my own algorithm, so I use ESPN’s FPI. If I had to use a poll as most other sites do, I would use Sagarin; however, that would result in a lot of math that does not fit well on forums. In case you are curious, Sagarin’s ratings are based on the kind of math I would use with all the statistics I keep on my computer. A Sagarin-based model would have Florida ranked at 30 and Missouri ranked at 57 and would have Florida winning by about 2 touchdowns. The problem with any model is that there is no way to account for human variability. Games between Florida and Missouri rarely make sense.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
No. I have no faith in FPI as you say, but I use it as a means to track trends. The polls are meaningless. Pure stats are useful with context, and that context can be provided or augmented by FPI. I do not have the time or motivation to develop my own algorithm, so I use ESPN’s FPI. If I had to use a poll as most other sites do, I would use Sagarin; however, that would result in a lot of math that does not fit well on forums. In case you are curious, Sagarin’s ratings are based on the kind of math I would use with all the statistics I keep on my computer. A Sagarin-based model would have Florida ranked at 30 and Missouri ranked at 57 and would have Florida winning by about 2 touchdowns. The problem with any model is that there is no way to account for human variability. Games between Florida and Missouri rarely make sense.
Interesting that you mention Sagarin:
Back in my betting days, I came to suspect that of all the statistical approaches, it alone presented a dispassionately accurate means of balancing the total relative strengths of various prospective opponents, based on what we've seen of their performance thus far.
BUT: The limitation, as always, lay in the very "human variability" you note here now.
This is the sliver of "any given gameday" HOPE that is both the strength and the potential heartbreak of college football!
In arriving at a properly balanced and exciting CFB Playoff setup, here's hoping they can limit their succumbing to the pressure to maximize profits enough to leave both the importance of EVERY GAME in the regular season AND restore at least the chance of an "outlier" having a great season making an excitingly "hot-handed", statistically unforeseeable run.
Not exactly the way things have trended, admittedly...perhaps way too much to expect.
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
In the post-Urban Meyer era, the Kentucky and Missouri games have been decent litmus tests for the remainder of the season. Before the season started, Kentucky was expected to go 8-4. The loss to South Carolina now moves them to a projected season of 7.5. Missouri was expected to go 6-6, and with the improvements by South Carolina and Arkansas being up-and-down depending on the health of its quarterback, the updated projection for them is 5-7. Before the season started, Florida was expected to go 6-6 or 7-5, and that expectation has not changed. The only difference is that most models had the wins and losses to Utah and Kentucky flipped, and the 50/50 calls with Texas A&M, LSU, and FSU have gone up and down.

The takeaway trends:
- Florida's FPI started at 9.3 and will likely end around 6.5.
- Florida's expected win value has bounced between 6 and 7 largely due to the improvement or regression of other teams.
- Florida's season to this point is going as expected for a first-year coach. The variability has been with Texas A&M, Kentucky, Missouri, and FSU despite each having consistent coaching staffs for at least 3 years (the standard benchmark). LSU is just as volatile in year 1 of their coach.
- Going into the back half of the season the Gators are 3-2 (1-2) and are likely going to finish at 7-5 or 6-6 depending on whether FSU survives its ACC schedule. Highly probable losses: UGA. Moderately probable losses: LSU and TAMU. Toss-ups leaning towards losses: FSU. Random loss: USC. Note that by FPI, the win over Utah is an upset.
DateUFUUUKUSFUTEWUMIZLSUBYEUGATAMUUSCVUFSUP(W)
09/03/22​
9.30
12.90
12.00​
-4.30​
9.80​
-15.00​
2.10​
14.00​
0.00
28.00​
13.10​
5.10​
0.50​
7.90​
6​
09/10/22​
10.60
12.30​
12.10
-8.90​
14.80​
-15.00​
5.10​
13.90​
0.00
29.40​
11.90​
5.40​
-2.20​
8.30​
6​
09/17/22​
8.00
15.30​
12.10​
-11.90
15.60​
-15.00​
1.90​
14.90​
0.00
29.20​
9.10​
4.90​
-4.10​
8.30​
7​
09/24/22​
5.10
15.40​
11.00​
-9.20​
18.20
-15.00​
-0.80​
16.20​
0.00
29.20​
9.20​
0.60​
-3.80​
8.30​
7​
10/01/22​
6.20
16.50​
8.50​
-11.80​
16.20​
-15.00
0.30​
17.40​
0.00
27.20​
8.40​
1.90​
-5.40​
9.50​
7​
10/08/22​
6.80
17.80​
9.70​
-12.60​
16.10​
-15.00​
2.60
17.00​
0.00
25.20​
7.50​
2.70​
-5.30​
8.90​
7​
10/15/22​
6.60
16.40​
7.50​
-10.20​
19.60​
-15.00​
2.80​
14.20
0.00
26.40​
7.00​
4.40​
-6.10​
9.30​
7​
10/22/22
6.60
16.40​
7.00​
-10.20​
16.00​
-15.00​
3.20​
15.00​
0.00
26.40​
7.20​
4.40​
-6.10​
9.30​
7​
10/29/22​
6.40
15.00​
7.20​
-10.20​
18.00​
-15.00​
3.00​
14.00​
0.00
27.80
7.40​
4.20​
-6.20​
9.30​
7​
11/05/22​
6.20
15.00​
7.40​
-10.20​
18.20​
-15.00​
2.20​
13.00​
0.00
28.00​
7.60
4.00​
-6.40​
9.30​
7​
11/12/22​
6.40
15.00​
7.60​
-10.20​
18.40​
-15.00​
2.40​
13.20​
0.00
28.10​
7.8​
3.80
-6.60​
9.30​
7​
11/19/22​
6.60
14.00​
6.00​
-10.20​
18.60​
-15.00​
2.60​
13.40​
0.00
28.40​
8.0​
3.60​
-6.80
9.30​
6​
11/26/22​
6.80
14.20​
6.20​
-10.20​
18.80​
-15.00​
2.80​
13.00​
0.00
28.60​
8.2​
3.40​
-7.00​
8.00
6​
 
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DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
Watching the replay of yesterday's game, I STILL can't get over how poorly we played as a defense on 3rd downs--and it got worse (and WORSE) in the 2nd half...if not for Jayden Hill we probably LOSE this game, just on the weakness of this defense on 3rd downs!
I can't bear to watch--it's almost as bad the 2nd time through, even knowing we WIN!
Sigh...I've said my piece as to how I see this team right now, and how I intend to watch and evaluate them the rest of the way this SEASON.
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
Watching the replay of yesterday's game, I STILL can't get over how poorly we played as a defense on 3rd downs--and it got worse (and WORSE) in the 2nd half...if not for Jayden Hill we probably LOSE this game, just on the weakness of this defense on 3rd downs!​
I can't bear to watch--it's almost as bad the 2nd time through, even knowing we WIN!
Sigh...I've said my piece as to how I see this team right now, and how I intend to watch and evaluate them the rest of the way this SEASON.
It is almost as if we had a garbage coaching staff that was fired a few months ago. Defenses do not get fixed overnight. It is harder to fix a defense than it is to fix an offense. Note that Louisiana's defense was #11 last year and has dropped to #36 with those coaches now at Florida. The interesting metric is that even though Florida's total defense is #12, its defensive efficiency is #9, which supports the "bend but don't break" philosophy of this team.
Team2022 SEC Defense Efficiency Ranking [week 6] (overall rank)2022 Total Defense Ranking (W6)2021 Total Defense Ranking
Alabama​
1 (4)​
6​
18​
Georgia​
2 (2)​
4​
1​
Tennessee​
3 (30)​
22​
90​
Ole Miss​
4 (12)​
11​
51​
Utah​
(19)​
19​
35​
LSU​
5 (13)​
29​
70​
Mississippi State​
6 (9)​
39​
62​
Texas A&M​
7 (23)​
28​
10​
FSU​
(59)​
59​
3​
Kentucky​
8 (10)​
18​
26​
Florida
9 (58)​
63
73
Louisiana
(32)​
36​
11​
Auburn​
10 (47)​
60​
27​
South Carolina​
11 (78)​
61​
46​
Arkansas​
12 (97)​
108​
39​
Missouri​
13 (17)​
57​
113​
Vanderbilt​
14 (88)​
122​
119​
 
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DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
It is almost as if we had a garbage coaching staff that was fired a few months ago. Defenses do not get fixed overnight. It is harder to fix a defense than it is to fix an offense. Note that Louisiana's defense was #11 last year and has dropped to #36 with those coaches now at Florida. The interesting metric is that even though Florida's total defense is #12, its defensive efficiency is #9, which supports the "bend but don't break" philosophy of this team.
Team2022 SEC Defense Efficiency Ranking [week 6] (overall rank)2022 Total Defense Ranking (W6)2021 Total Defense Ranking
Alabama​
1 (4)
6​
18​
Georgia​
2 (2)
4​
1​
Tennessee​
3 (30)
22​
90​
Ole Miss​
4 (12)
11​
51​
Utah​
(19)
19​
35​
LSU​
5 (13)
29​
70​
Mississippi State​
6 (9)
39​
62​
Texas A&M​
7 (23)
28​
10​
FSU​
(59)
59​
3​
Kentucky​
8 (10)
18​
26​
Florida
9 (58)
63
73
Louisiana(32)
36​
11​
Auburn​
10 (47)
60​
27​
South Carolina​
11 (78)
61​
46​
Arkansas​
12 (97)
108​
39​
Missouri​
13 (17)
57​
113​
Vanderbilt​
14 (88)
122​
119​
Really good, insightful points, E--, ones I NEEDED to hear and consider right about now.
It is one thing to TELL myself that I must step back, wait for certain things to actually change and have an effect; it is quite another to live and stay open and READY for that "change" when finally comes.
The above were "PERTINENT facts"--ones that are relevant to the eventual "solving/fixing" that Gator fans (specifically we here at Gator Envy) have longingly spoken of now for some years.
There is real HOPE buried in the above "metrics"--"interesting" indeed.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
The chances against Texas A&M have increased. They're not looking too good.
(@Escambia94, @Leakfan12, :
If previously read, please REREAD this post/response, my having since seriously extended it with heartfelt analysis)

Yep: Despite the weaknesses witnessed in our own program, it isn't as if perfection has been rampant elsewhere...
In fact, it hasn't exactly been a consistent feature even among the 2 or 3 so-called "ELITE" teams at the TOP of the CFB rankings so far this season.
In spite of everything, even WITH all my criticisms and reservations previously stated, I do see a possible sequence of events that might bring us eight, even NINE wins after all this season...
However, there is a part of me that truly FEARS such an outcome--should it come to pass, while as a fan I would rejoice with all of Gator Nation at our unexpected early success, in my heart of darkness I would in truth be counting instead on the wisdom and longterm insights of our Coach to recognize the fruits not of our progress so much as the current weakness underlying the shallow if flashy apparent strengths with which these "future opponents" are now dazzling the rest of the college football world.
Not that I foresee this coming to pass, but should it turn out that way my deepest, secret hope would be that this program would somehow be protected from its effects.
There is a LEARNING PROCESS, a procession of FAILURE that is the valuable bedrock of eventual success--and I fear that the strength and joy of that evolutionary experience might be lost...
At the very least, it will be a more difficult, unlikely road to negogiate WITHOUT it, regardless of the Coach's skills.
So in a small way, I WELCOME this "one more uneven year" (I ALMOST referred to it as "one more BAD year"), sensing that any success born of the true underlying weakness of others in fact, in the long run, CHEATS us. In this case might cheat us of our destiny.
It all depends on our Coach. It is he who will have to properly oversee how we negotiate that road, whichever one we find ourselves eventually on.
We've seen where the poor handling of somewhat undeserving early success can lead in the repeated short positive-to-negative arcs of the last SEVERAL UF coaches.
I somehow sense that THIS one is prepared to deal with WHATEVER realities our path presents: That is why he came here. He had many and repeated ongoing opportunitues, and chose US.
Billy will do his best to prepare us for each opponent, for each game--but I believe that it all, every bit of that preparation, is in the longterm service of our eventual real and true longterm SUCCESS.
NOT just winning A GAME, but winning CHAMPIONSHIPS--and not just ONE, but many.
To compete at that level for years to come.
Who does this sound like? I won't say it--but we all know who I mean.
And that is where he consciously has in mind to take us. It will be a different path, a different FLAVOR (a "GATOR flavor", right?), but the ultimate goal is the same.
The fuse has been lit. Take cover.
 
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DRU2012

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Staff member
Super Moderator
(@Escambia94, @Leakfan12, )

Again, I recommend we all take a few moments to review this whole thread, the extended FLOW of our particular evolving self-awareness then just beginning to emerge under the new Coach and staff, as shown in our own "replies" along the way here...
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
The updated FPI has the following win probabilities:
vs. Georgia: 3%
@ Texas A&M: 19%
vs. South Carolina: 58%
@ Vanderbilt: 86%
@ Florida State: 22%

Unless we get an upset, this puts the Gators at 6-6. South Carolina now becomes the most important game for bowl eligibility.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
Yeah. Go ahead and graph it...
I leave it to y'all to judge:
"Mediocrity", or "flat-lining"?
 

Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
In the LSU game thread I said that if we lose to LSU I will stop making predictions. There is nothing to graph. Florida's offense seems to have settled down, but the Florida's defense is getting far worse. South Carolina and FSU are getting better overall. We should now look at South Carolina's and FSU's trends to get an idea of how much they are improving faster than Florida.

South Carolina's FPI started at 5.1, dropped to 0.6 after losses to #16 Arkansas (30-44) and #1 Georgia (7-48). Their FPI improved to 6.0 (just below Florida's 6.4) as they beat some cupcakes, worked out some kinks, and beat #13 Kentucky without Will Levis (24-14). On October 22 we get to compare common opponents South Carolina and Texas A&M, then we get a look at how they perform against Missouri the following week. By the end of October we will have a good idea of where the growth curves are between South Carolina and Florida.

FSU's FPI started at 7.9, got a bump to 8.3 as they beat LSU, and has settled around 9.3 in good losses to #22 Wake Forest (21-31), #14 NC State (17-19), and #4 Clemson (28-34). The Noles might be tested by Miami on November 5th before they travel to face their final ranked team, #14 Syracuse, on November 12.

Florida's FPI started at 9.3, reached a high of 10.6 after beating Utah (29-26), and has settled around 6.4. This team can hang with #11 Tennessee (33-38), but can also crap the bed against #20 Kentucky (16-26) and unranked LSU (35-45). Nobody expects Florida to hang with Georgia (3% win chance). Florida could show some spunk against Texas A&M (19% win chance), and could theoretically pull off an upset. South Carolina will probably be a 50% chance of victory if the Cocks continue to improve. Vanderbilt should be a win, but as we saw with USF there is no guarantee that it will be easy. Our win percentage against FSU started at 46% and is now at a low of about 22%.
 

DRU2012

Super Moderator
Staff member
Super Moderator
Ghaaaahhhh!!!!!
You are missing my point here.
Plot the data points, and you end up with a STRAIGHT LINE...
A STRAIGHT LINE:
"________________________" (!)
That is ALL, in the end.
That's all I'm saying--and where I got that "...flat line" line...Aw hell...I am sick of my own efforts at levity, at this point...
 
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DRU2012

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I'm sorry, man--I guess I've reached a certain "saturation point" with this team, program and season...Am I the only guy who's finding that "the fun" has gone out of all this?
Certainly "the soljdarity" we'd have expected on "Tom Petty Day" was lacking, at least for ME.
Geez! Listen to me! My original plan had been to head out to the Oktoberfest Bar and Grill in Del Valle where they hold the "Austin UF Alumni GameDay WATCH PARTIES" now, hoist a few cool ones with fellow former Hogtown residents...Instead, I suffered through that torture session alone in my room, online with y'all as we witnessed another one of this season's "woulda/shoulda/coulda" experiences.
What USED to be "fun" has somehow morphed into a near-weekly "WTF Have We Come To?-Session for Disenchanted Gators".
 
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Escambia94

Aerospace Cubicle Engineer (ACE)
Moderator
The only hope for the Gator offense is the bad defenses that Florida will be playing next. Florida has the #26 rushing offense with 198.5 yards per game at 5.93 ypc (they were in the top 10 before the Georgia game).
- Texas A&M #120 205.6 opp rush yards per game at 4.81 ypc
- South Carolina #95 165.0 opp rush yards per game at 4.18 ypc
- Vanderbilt #82 152.8 opp rush yards per game at 4.38 ypc
- FSU #69 145.6 opp rush yards per game at 3.77 ypc
Florida can beat any of these teams keeping the ball on the ground.

If teams decide to run on the Gators, Florida is #116 with 191.8 opp rush yards per game at 4.65 ypc:
- Texas A&M #101 123.6 ypg 4.32 ypc
- South Carolina #98 127.5 ypg 3.89 ypc
- Vanderbilt #79 138.4 ypg 4.15 ypc
- FSU #18 209.6 ypg at 5.65 ypc
On the other hand, FSU can easily beat Florida by keeping the ball on the ground.

The Gators are not very good in the air as the #86 passing offense with 223.8 ypg at 8.10 ypa.
- Texas A&M #7 170.1 ypg 6.0 ypa
- South Carolina #31 196.4 ypg 6.74 ypa
- Vanderbilt #130 317.8 ypg 8.98 ypa
- FSU #14 177.9 ypg 6.3 ypa
If the Gators want to put the ball in the air, they need to do so against Vanderbilt. Otherwise, stick to the ground against the Aggies, Cocks, and Noles.

The Gator defense is not very good against the pass at #95 with 253 opp ypg allowed and 8.04 ypa allowed.
- Texas A&M #72 235.9 ypg 6.91 ypa
- South Carolina #83 225.4 ypg 7.51 ypa
- Vanderbilt #103 202.6 ypg 6.54 ypa
- FSU #31 277.5 ypg 8.57 ypa
Again, FSU looks to be the biggest threat in the air compared to the remaining teams on the schedule. The pass defense could theoretically play man press against the Aggies, Cocks, and Dores and fare well.
 

DRU2012

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I will endeavor to take a different attitude going forward from here.
As I have noted elsewhere, it won't be some sudden appearance of some offensive juggernaut that somehow materializes the rest of the way, after all.
No, all I hope to see is steady progress, and a continuation of the responsive, "no-QUIT" attitude we've seen even in the losses when we fell badly behind. Yes. the stats say that if we can run the ball, we CAN WIN (especially against the squads left on our schedule)...If we can't, we won't.
If we can pull out TWO wins, we can get to a bowl--badly needed by a young team with a new staff, for the sake alone of all that extra practice time!
I'll watch. Hopefully I've managed to at least convince MYSELF of the above; no doubt it could STILL turn out painful and frustrating, regardless.
At least it's an early kickoff--We don't have to wait all day with building apprehension this time.
PS @Escambia94,
At least this season you have had the "Gameday" thread up by now. I like your realistic but upbeat intros, and have myself been less and LESS inclined to take that "fresh page" approach as this schedule has worn me down. If for whatever reason you DON'T set one up by tomorrow morn (well, it being past midnight here in Austin, "...later on today...") I will TRY to fill in appropriately. Frankly though, I appreciate and look forward to yours.
Wait a moment; I suddenly had this stray thought:
Are you perhaps going to be AT this game??!
It's in College Station, meaning the kickoff really WILL be at 11:00am Central to make it a noon East broadcast...I was considering heading up there for this one myself earlier in the season (admittedly VERY early--like when we beat Utah in game 1), so perhaps you are planning to be AT this one yourself? If so, let me know and of COURSE I'll set up the thread.
I just like the way you have done it, as I say.
 
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DRU2012

Super Moderator
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I'll simply count everything outward from the observatory at Greenwich, England--just as the British scientists had done things back in Victorian times...No use "reinventing the WHEEL", right?
Now, the whole business with "DAYLIGHT SAVINGS", which comes up again is ALSO due to be "adjusted" again this weekend.
THAT in fact actually messes with our circadian rhythm, it seems, affecting general health negatively--and Westinghouse somehow became obsessed with eliminating that anomalie (HIS "Daylight Savings Time") from society...So was Tesla--Westinghouse for profit, Tesla for practicality and eventual FREE POWER (anathema to the likes of Westinghouse and Edison, who though otherwise deep competitors had only their using ac to kill animals and criminals to kill Tesla's idea of "free power to everyone".
Power ISN'T "free", and Tesla died broke, his papers taken by the federal government and classified--with more than a thousand fundamental patents that the present and future of electronics industries are BASED upon.
But whose name still quietly controls our commerce until this day. "Westinghouse", "Group W", etc... and the like could still freeze in the 1940s the Walt Disney produced emotional film for the Westinghouse Electric Company the flow of :⁷<iconography out in the real world of invention and technology TO THIS DAY, and so on... Steam turbines and beyond...
 

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